The Assessment of Impacts and Risks of Climate Change on Agriculture (AIRCCA) model: a tool for the rapid global risk assessment for crop yields at a spatially explicit scale

Francisco Estrada*, W. J.Wouter Botzen, Oscar Calderon-Bustamante

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

27 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

A main channel through which climate change is expected to affect the economy is the agricultural sector. Large spatial variability in these impacts and high levels of uncertainty in climate change projections create methodological challenges for assessing the consequences this sector could face. Crop emulators based on econometric fixed-effects models that can closely reproduce biophysical models are estimated. With these reduced form crop emulators, we develop AIRCCA, a user-friendly software for the assessment of impacts and risks of climate change on agriculture, that allows stakeholders to make a rapid global assessment of the effects of climate change on maize, wheat and rice yields. AIRCCA produces spatially explicit probabilistic impact scenarios and user-defined risk metrics for the main four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) emissions scenarios.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)262-279
Number of pages18
JournalSpatial Economic Analysis
Volume15
Issue number3
Early online date21 May 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Jul 2020

Keywords

  • agriculture
  • climate change
  • integrated assessment model
  • panel model

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'The Assessment of Impacts and Risks of Climate Change on Agriculture (AIRCCA) model: a tool for the rapid global risk assessment for crop yields at a spatially explicit scale'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this