The economic value of timetable changes

Eric Kroes*, Andrew Daly

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to ConferencePaperAcademic


The paper addresses the consumer value of changes in service frequency for timetable-based transport systems such as bus, train, ferry and air transport. Instead of using "average waiting times" we propose a more appropriate model specification of the different impacts of timetable changes for individual travellers. This includes a decision whether to plan the journey or not, and (if planning) when to start the journey as a function of the services available. We also address the issue of how to aggregate the individual values across the travelling population to obtain estimates of total welfare. Because there is significant variation in preferences between individual travellers, logsum-type measures are used to derive expected utilities rather than mean values. We end our paper by illustrating the application of our method for a rail service.

Original languageEnglish
Number of pages15
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018
Event45th European Transport Conference, ETC 2017 - Barcelona, Spain
Duration: 4 Oct 20176 Oct 2017


Conference45th European Transport Conference, ETC 2017


  • mixed traffic operation
  • rail capacity allocation problem
  • rail infrastructure utilisation
  • train timetabling

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