De nota 'Zorg voor ouderen': een tweeslachtig toekomstscenario.

Translated title of the contribution: The report "Care of the Aged": an ambiguous future scenario

H. L. Nies*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review


The Dutch governmental report 'Care of the elderly' is evaluated in the light of the findings of the study 'The elderly and their health in the Netherlands, 1984-2000'. The latter delineates three scenario's, by which in the near future the need of provisions may develop. The reference-scenario assumes a stable, relative demand for provisions, the growth-scenario an increasing and the shrinkage-scenario a decreasing demand. For economical and ideological reasons the Dutch government adheres to the shrinkage-scenario. Nevertheless, the same government also expresses severe doubts concerning the underlying assumptions. The proposed measures appear not to be consistent with the shrinkage-scenario. It is concluded that 'Care of the elderly' demonstrates ambiguity in its view on the future need of provisions by the elderly. This ambiguity appears to be largely determined by restricted financial and regulating means.

Translated title of the contributionThe report "Care of the Aged": an ambiguous future scenario
Original languageDutch
Pages (from-to)117-120
Number of pages4
JournalTijdschrift voor Gerontologie en Geriatrie
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - Jun 1986


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