Timing of banks’ loan loss provisioning during the crisis

L. de Haan, M.R.C. van Oordt

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review


We estimate a panel error correction model for loan loss provisions, using unique supervisory data on flow of funds into and out of the allowance for loan losses of 25 Dutch banks in the post-2008 crisis period. We find that these banks aim for an allowance of 49% of impaired loans. In the short run, however, the adjustment of the allowance is only 29% of the change in impaired loans. The deviation from the target is made up by (a) larger additions to allowances in subsequent quarters and (b) smaller reversals of allowances when loan losses do not materialize. After one quarter, the adjustment toward the target level is 32%, and after four quarters it is 79%. For individual banks, there are substantial differences in timing of provisioning for bad loan losses.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)293-303
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of Banking and Finance
Early online date10 Oct 2017
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2018
Externally publishedYes

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