Toward a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management

Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler; Robert Trogrlić Šakić; Karina Reiter; Philip J. Ward; Marleen C. de Ruiter; Melanie J. Duncan; Silvia Torresan; Roxana Ciurean; Jaroslav Mysiak; Dana Stuparu; Stefania Gottardo

doi:10.1016/j.isci.2023.106736

Toward a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management

Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler, Robert Trogrlić Šakić^*, Karina Reiter, Philip J. Ward, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Melanie J. Duncan, Silvia Torresan, Roxana Ciurean, Jaroslav Mysiak, Dana Stuparu, Stefania Gottardo

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to Journal › Review article › Academic › peer-review

Abstract

In our increasingly interconnected world, natural hazards and their impacts spread across geographical, administrative, and sectoral boundaries. Owing to the interrelationships between multi-hazards and socio-economic dimensions, the impacts of these types of events can surmount those of multiple single hazards. The complexities involved in tackling multi-hazards and multi-risks hinder a more holistic and integrative perspective and make it difficult to identify overarching dimensions important for assessment and management purposes. We contribute to this discussion by building on systemic risk research, especially the focus on interconnectedness, and suggest ways forward for an integrated multi-hazard and multi-risk framework that should be beneficial in real-world applications. In this article, we propose a six-step framework for analyzing and managing risk across a spectrum ranging from single-to multi- and systemic risk.

Original language	English
Article number	106736
Pages (from-to)	1-18
Number of pages	18
Journal	iScience
Volume	26
Issue number	5
Early online date	26 Apr 2023
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2023.106736
Publication status	Published - 19 May 2023

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276. We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript. S.H-S. and R.S-T. developed the theory for the framework, S.H-S. R.S-T. and K.R. built the stepwise framework. P.J.W. provided examples and all authors contributed to writing and reviewing the article. The authors declare no competing interests.

Funding Information:
The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276 . We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 The Author(s)

Funding

The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276. We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript. S.H-S. and R.S-T. developed the theory for the framework, S.H-S. R.S-T. and K.R. built the stepwise framework. P.J.W. provided examples and all authors contributed to writing and reviewing the article. The authors declare no competing interests. The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276 . We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript.

Funders	Funder number
European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020
HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU
MYRIAD-EU
Siddharth Krishnaswamy
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme	101003276
European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020	101003276

Keywords

Hazard identification
Risk assessment

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10.1016/j.isci.2023.106736

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Cite this

@article{f177caf0dbde43d69f527b1981900027,

title = "Toward a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management",

abstract = "In our increasingly interconnected world, natural hazards and their impacts spread across geographical, administrative, and sectoral boundaries. Owing to the interrelationships between multi-hazards and socio-economic dimensions, the impacts of these types of events can surmount those of multiple single hazards. The complexities involved in tackling multi-hazards and multi-risks hinder a more holistic and integrative perspective and make it difficult to identify overarching dimensions important for assessment and management purposes. We contribute to this discussion by building on systemic risk research, especially the focus on interconnectedness, and suggest ways forward for an integrated multi-hazard and multi-risk framework that should be beneficial in real-world applications. In this article, we propose a six-step framework for analyzing and managing risk across a spectrum ranging from single-to multi- and systemic risk.",

keywords = "Hazard identification, Risk assessment",

author = "Stefan Hochrainer-Stigler and \{Trogrli{\'c} {\v S}aki{\'c}\}, Robert and Karina Reiter and Ward, \{Philip J.\} and \{de Ruiter\}, \{Marleen C.\} and Duncan, \{Melanie J.\} and Silvia Torresan and Roxana Ciurean and Jaroslav Mysiak and Dana Stuparu and Stefania Gottardo",

note = "Funding Information: The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276. We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript. S.H-S. and R.S-T. developed the theory for the framework, S.H-S. R.S-T. and K.R. built the stepwise framework. P.J.W. provided examples and all authors contributed to writing and reviewing the article. The authors declare no competing interests. Funding Information: The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union{\textquoteright}s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276 . We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2023 The Author(s)",

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doi = "10.1016/j.isci.2023.106736",

language = "English",

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T1 - Toward a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management

AU - Hochrainer-Stigler, Stefan

AU - Trogrlić Šakić, Robert

AU - Reiter, Karina

AU - Ward, Philip J.

AU - de Ruiter, Marleen C.

AU - Duncan, Melanie J.

AU - Torresan, Silvia

AU - Ciurean, Roxana

AU - Mysiak, Jaroslav

AU - Stuparu, Dana

AU - Gottardo, Stefania

N1 - Funding Information: The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276. We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript. S.H-S. and R.S-T. developed the theory for the framework, S.H-S. R.S-T. and K.R. built the stepwise framework. P.J.W. provided examples and all authors contributed to writing and reviewing the article. The authors declare no competing interests. Funding Information: The work was done as a part of the HORIZON 2020 MYRIAD-EU Project, and the authors acknowledge the funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme call H2020-LC-CLA-2018-2019-2020 under grant agreement number 101003276 . We thank members of the MYRIAD-EU consortium for their valuable contributions in the discussion of the framework, especially to Julius Schlumberger, James Daniell, and Siddharth Krishnaswamy, MYRIAD-EU Pilot Leads (Anne Sophie Daloz, Lin Ma, Sharon Tatman, Noemi Padron Fumero), as well as all the participants of the MYRIAD-EU Workshop in April 2022. We also thank the members of Arctik for the graphic design of the framework and images in the article. Finally, we thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments that improved the manuscript. Publisher Copyright: © 2023 The Author(s)

PY - 2023/5/19

Y1 - 2023/5/19

N2 - In our increasingly interconnected world, natural hazards and their impacts spread across geographical, administrative, and sectoral boundaries. Owing to the interrelationships between multi-hazards and socio-economic dimensions, the impacts of these types of events can surmount those of multiple single hazards. The complexities involved in tackling multi-hazards and multi-risks hinder a more holistic and integrative perspective and make it difficult to identify overarching dimensions important for assessment and management purposes. We contribute to this discussion by building on systemic risk research, especially the focus on interconnectedness, and suggest ways forward for an integrated multi-hazard and multi-risk framework that should be beneficial in real-world applications. In this article, we propose a six-step framework for analyzing and managing risk across a spectrum ranging from single-to multi- and systemic risk.

AB - In our increasingly interconnected world, natural hazards and their impacts spread across geographical, administrative, and sectoral boundaries. Owing to the interrelationships between multi-hazards and socio-economic dimensions, the impacts of these types of events can surmount those of multiple single hazards. The complexities involved in tackling multi-hazards and multi-risks hinder a more holistic and integrative perspective and make it difficult to identify overarching dimensions important for assessment and management purposes. We contribute to this discussion by building on systemic risk research, especially the focus on interconnectedness, and suggest ways forward for an integrated multi-hazard and multi-risk framework that should be beneficial in real-world applications. In this article, we propose a six-step framework for analyzing and managing risk across a spectrum ranging from single-to multi- and systemic risk.

KW - Hazard identification

KW - Risk assessment

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DO - 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106736

M3 - Review article

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JF - iScience

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Toward a framework for systemic multi-hazard and multi-risk assessment and management

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