Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability

Pieter A. Zuidema; Flurin Babst; Peter Groenendijk; Valerie Trouet; Abrham Abiyu; Rodolfo Acuña-Soto; Eduardo Adenesky-Filho; Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez; José Roberto Vieira Aragão; Gabriel Assis-Pereira; Xue Bai; Ana Carolina Barbosa; Giovanna Battipaglia; Hans Beeckman; Paulo Cesar Botosso; Tim Bradley; Achim Bräuning; Roel Brienen; Brendan M. Buckley; J. Julio Camarero; Ana Carvalho; Gregório Ceccantini; Librado R. Centeno-Erguera; Julián Cerano-Paredes; Álvaro Agustín Chávez-Durán; Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra; Malcolm K. Cleaveland; Camille Couralet; Rosanne D’Arrigo; Jorge Ignacio del Valle; Oliver Dünisch; Brian J. Enquist; Karin Esemann-Quadros; Zewdu Eshetu; Ze Xin Fan; M. Eugenia Ferrero; Esther Fichtler; Claudia Fontana; Kainana S. Francisco; Aster Gebrekirstos; Emanuel Gloor; Daniela Granato-Souza; Kristof Haneca; Grant Logan Harley; Ingo Heinrich; Gerd Helle; Janet G. Inga; Mahmuda Islam; Yu mei Jiang; Mark Kaib; Zakia Hassan Khamisi; Marcin Koprowski; Bart Kruijt; Eva Layme; Rik Leemans; A. Joshua Leffler; Claudio Sergio Lisi; Neil J. Loader; Giuliano Maselli Locosselli; Lidio Lopez; María I. López-Hernández; José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada; Hooz A. Mendivelso; Mulugeta Mokria; Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia; Eddy Moors; Cristina Nabais; Justine Ngoma; Francisco de Carvalho Nogueira Júnior; Juliano Morales Oliveira; Gabriela Morais Olmedo; Mariana Alves Pagotto; Shankar Panthi; Gonzalo Pérez-De-Lis; Darwin Pucha-Cofrep; Nathsuda Pumijumnong; Mizanur Rahman; Jorge Andres Ramirez; Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas; Adauto de Souza Ribeiro; Iain Robertson; Fidel Alejandro Roig; Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho; Ute Sass-Klaassen; Jochen Schöngart; Paul R. Sheppard; Franziska Slotta; James H. Speer; Matthew D. Therrell; Benjamin Toirambe; Mario Tomazello-Filho; Max C.A. Torbenson; Ramzi Touchan; Alejandro Venegas-González; Ricardo Villalba; Jose Villanueva-Diaz; Royd Vinya; Mart Vlam; Tommy Wils; Zhe Kun Zhou

doi:10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8

Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability

Pieter A. Zuidema^*, Flurin Babst, Peter Groenendijk, Valerie Trouet, Abrham Abiyu, Rodolfo Acuña-Soto, Eduardo Adenesky-Filho, Raquel Alfaro-Sánchez, José Roberto Vieira Aragão, Gabriel Assis-Pereira, Xue Bai, Ana Carolina Barbosa, Giovanna Battipaglia, Hans Beeckman, Paulo Cesar Botosso, Tim Bradley, Achim Bräuning, Roel Brienen, Brendan M. Buckley, J. Julio CamareroAna Carvalho, Gregório Ceccantini, Librado R. Centeno-Erguera, Julián Cerano-Paredes, Álvaro Agustín Chávez-Durán, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat Cintra, Malcolm K. Cleaveland, Camille Couralet, Rosanne D’Arrigo, Jorge Ignacio del Valle, Oliver Dünisch, Brian J. Enquist, Karin Esemann-Quadros, Zewdu Eshetu, Ze Xin Fan, M. Eugenia Ferrero, Esther Fichtler, Claudia Fontana, Kainana S. Francisco, Aster Gebrekirstos, Emanuel Gloor, Daniela Granato-Souza, Kristof Haneca, Grant Logan Harley, Ingo Heinrich, Gerd Helle, Janet G. Inga, Mahmuda Islam, Yu mei Jiang, Mark Kaib, Zakia Hassan Khamisi, Marcin Koprowski, Bart Kruijt, Eva Layme, Rik Leemans, A. Joshua Leffler, Claudio Sergio Lisi, Neil J. Loader, Giuliano Maselli Locosselli, Lidio Lopez, María I. López-Hernández, José Luís Penetra Cerveira Lousada, Hooz A. Mendivelso, Mulugeta Mokria, Valdinez Ribeiro Montóia, Eddy Moors, Cristina Nabais, Justine Ngoma, Francisco de Carvalho Nogueira Júnior, Juliano Morales Oliveira, Gabriela Morais Olmedo, Mariana Alves Pagotto, Shankar Panthi, Gonzalo Pérez-De-Lis, Darwin Pucha-Cofrep, Nathsuda Pumijumnong, Mizanur Rahman, Jorge Andres Ramirez, Edilson Jimmy Requena-Rojas, Adauto de Souza Ribeiro, Iain Robertson, Fidel Alejandro Roig, Ernesto Alonso Rubio-Camacho, Ute Sass-Klaassen, Jochen Schöngart, Paul R. Sheppard, Franziska Slotta, James H. Speer, Matthew D. Therrell, Benjamin Toirambe, Mario Tomazello-Filho, Max C.A. Torbenson, Ramzi Touchan, Alejandro Venegas-González, Ricardo Villalba, Jose Villanueva-Diaz, Royd Vinya, Mart Vlam, Tommy Wils, Zhe Kun Zhou

^*Corresponding author for this work

Earth and Climate

Research output: Contribution to Journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

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Abstract

Interannual variability in the global land carbon sink is strongly related to variations in tropical temperature and rainfall. This association suggests an important role for moisture-driven fluctuations in tropical vegetation productivity, but empirical evidence to quantify the responsible ecological processes is missing. Such evidence can be obtained from tree-ring data that quantify variability in a major vegetation productivity component: woody biomass growth. Here we compile a pantropical tree-ring network to show that annual woody biomass growth increases primarily with dry-season precipitation and decreases with dry-season maximum temperature. The strength of these dry-season climate responses varies among sites, as reflected in four robust and distinct climate response groups of tropical tree growth derived from clustering. Using cluster and regression analyses, we find that dry-season climate responses are amplified in regions that are drier, hotter and more climatically variable. These amplification patterns suggest that projected global warming will probably aggravate drought-induced declines in annual tropical vegetation productivity. Our study reveals a previously underappreciated role of dry-season climate variability in driving the dynamics of tropical vegetation productivity and consequently in influencing the land carbon sink.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	269-276
Number of pages	8
Journal	Nature Geoscience
Volume	15
Issue number	4
Early online date	31 Mar 2022
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8
Publication status	Published - Apr 2022

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoci?n Cient?fica y Tecnol?gica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confedera??o da Agricultura e Pecu?ria do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Direcci?n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad?mico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Direcci?n de Investigaci?n UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; S?o Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847?0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA?s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru ?s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru?s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cient?fico, Tecnol?gico y de Innovaci?n Tecnol?gica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Cr?dito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-S?nchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigaci?n Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educa??o; Ci?ncia e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania ?L. Vanvitelli?; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau.

Funding Information:
We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confederação da Agricultura e Pecuária do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Dirección de Investigación UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; São Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847‐0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA’s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru ‘s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru’s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico, Tecnológico y de Innovación Tecnológica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Crédito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-Sánchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigación Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educação; Ciência e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.

Funding

We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoci?n Cient?fica y Tecnol?gica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confedera??o da Agricultura e Pecu?ria do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Direcci?n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad?mico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Direcci?n de Investigaci?n UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; S?o Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847?0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA?s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru ?s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru?s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cient?fico, Tecnol?gico y de Innovaci?n Tecnol?gica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Cr?dito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-S?nchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigaci?n Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educa??o; Ci?ncia e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania ?L. Vanvitelli?; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau. We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confederação da Agricultura e Pecuária do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Dirección de Investigación UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; São Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847‐0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA’s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru ‘s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru’s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico, Tecnológico y de Innovación Tecnológica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Crédito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-Sánchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigación Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educação; Ciência e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau.

Funders	Funder number
Bangladesh Forest Department
Ciência e Tecnologia de Sergipe
Confederação da Agricultura e Pecuária do Brasil - CNA
FAPESP-NERC	18/50080-4
FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC	01/2011
German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology	FRG 0339638
Helvetas Swiss Intercooperation
Instituto Boliviano de Investigación Forestal
Instituto Federal de Educação
Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana
NSF-FAPESP	PIRE 2017/50085-3
National Geographic Global Exploration Fund	GEFNE80-13
Programa Bosques Andinos
Reserva Natural da Vale
Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future
Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID	11-CAP2-1730
São Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP	2018/24514-7, 2009/53951-7, 2019/08783-0, 2018/01847‐0, 2012/50457-4, 2019/27110-7
Valere project of University of Campania
National Science Foundation	GER 9553623, P2C2, IBN-9801287, AGS-1501321
World Bank Group	043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC
Fundación BBVA	BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD
Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Sigma Xia
Natural Environment Research Council	NE/K01353X/1
Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst
Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft	BR 1895/23-1, BR 1895/24-1, BR 1895/15-1, BR 1895/29-1
International Foundation for Science	D/5466-1
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior	88881.135931/2016-01, PDSE 15011/13-5, 88887.199858/2018-00
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica	PICT 2014-2797
Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico	1009/4785031-2, CONACYT-CB-2016-283134, 311874/2017-7
Universidad Nacional del Litoral	21-DI-FARNR-2019
Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
Consejo Nacional de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación Tecnológica
Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico, Tecnológico y de Innovación Tecnológica	INV 039-2019
Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research	IAI-SGP-CRA 2047
Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers

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10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8

Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variabilityFinal published version, 4.61 MBLicence: Article 25fa Dutch Copyright Act

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Zuidema, P. A., Babst, F., Groenendijk, P., Trouet, V., Abiyu, A., Acuña-Soto, R., Adenesky-Filho, E., Alfaro-Sánchez, R., Aragão, J. R. V., Assis-Pereira, G., Bai, X., Barbosa, A. C., Battipaglia, G., Beeckman, H., Botosso, P. C., Bradley, T., Bräuning, A., Brienen, R., Buckley, B. M., ... Zhou, Z. K. (2022). Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability. Nature Geoscience, 15(4), 269-276. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8

@article{4da953f15dad4e62be8b68948bf94ac7,

title = "Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability",

abstract = "Interannual variability in the global land carbon sink is strongly related to variations in tropical temperature and rainfall. This association suggests an important role for moisture-driven fluctuations in tropical vegetation productivity, but empirical evidence to quantify the responsible ecological processes is missing. Such evidence can be obtained from tree-ring data that quantify variability in a major vegetation productivity component: woody biomass growth. Here we compile a pantropical tree-ring network to show that annual woody biomass growth increases primarily with dry-season precipitation and decreases with dry-season maximum temperature. The strength of these dry-season climate responses varies among sites, as reflected in four robust and distinct climate response groups of tropical tree growth derived from clustering. Using cluster and regression analyses, we find that dry-season climate responses are amplified in regions that are drier, hotter and more climatically variable. These amplification patterns suggest that projected global warming will probably aggravate drought-induced declines in annual tropical vegetation productivity. Our study reveals a previously underappreciated role of dry-season climate variability in driving the dynamics of tropical vegetation productivity and consequently in influencing the land carbon sink.",

author = "Zuidema, {Pieter A.} and Flurin Babst and Peter Groenendijk and Valerie Trouet and Abrham Abiyu and Rodolfo Acu{\~n}a-Soto and Eduardo Adenesky-Filho and Raquel Alfaro-S{\'a}nchez and Arag{\~a}o, {Jos{\'e} Roberto Vieira} and Gabriel Assis-Pereira and Xue Bai and Barbosa, {Ana Carolina} and Giovanna Battipaglia and Hans Beeckman and Botosso, {Paulo Cesar} and Tim Bradley and Achim Br{\"a}uning and Roel Brienen and Buckley, {Brendan M.} and Camarero, {J. Julio} and Ana Carvalho and Greg{\'o}rio Ceccantini and Centeno-Erguera, {Librado R.} and Juli{\'a}n Cerano-Paredes and Ch{\'a}vez-Dur{\'a}n, {{\'A}lvaro Agust{\'i}n} and Cintra, {Bruno Bar{\c c}ante Ladvocat} and Cleaveland, {Malcolm K.} and Camille Couralet and Rosanne D{\textquoteright}Arrigo and {del Valle}, {Jorge Ignacio} and Oliver D{\"u}nisch and Enquist, {Brian J.} and Karin Esemann-Quadros and Zewdu Eshetu and Fan, {Ze Xin} and Ferrero, {M. Eugenia} and Esther Fichtler and Claudia Fontana and Francisco, {Kainana S.} and Aster Gebrekirstos and Emanuel Gloor and Daniela Granato-Souza and Kristof Haneca and Harley, {Grant Logan} and Ingo Heinrich and Gerd Helle and Inga, {Janet G.} and Mahmuda Islam and Jiang, {Yu mei} and Mark Kaib and Khamisi, {Zakia Hassan} and Marcin Koprowski and Bart Kruijt and Eva Layme and Rik Leemans and Leffler, {A. Joshua} and Lisi, {Claudio Sergio} and Loader, {Neil J.} and Locosselli, {Giuliano Maselli} and Lidio Lopez and L{\'o}pez-Hern{\'a}ndez, {Mar{\'i}a I.} and Lousada, {Jos{\'e} Lu{\'i}s Penetra Cerveira} and Mendivelso, {Hooz A.} and Mulugeta Mokria and Mont{\'o}ia, {Valdinez Ribeiro} and Eddy Moors and Cristina Nabais and Justine Ngoma and {Nogueira J{\'u}nior}, {Francisco de Carvalho} and Oliveira, {Juliano Morales} and Olmedo, {Gabriela Morais} and Pagotto, {Mariana Alves} and Shankar Panthi and Gonzalo P{\'e}rez-De-Lis and Darwin Pucha-Cofrep and Nathsuda Pumijumnong and Mizanur Rahman and Ramirez, {Jorge Andres} and Requena-Rojas, {Edilson Jimmy} and Ribeiro, {Adauto de Souza} and Iain Robertson and Roig, {Fidel Alejandro} and Rubio-Camacho, {Ernesto Alonso} and Ute Sass-Klaassen and Jochen Sch{\"o}ngart and Sheppard, {Paul R.} and Franziska Slotta and Speer, {James H.} and Therrell, {Matthew D.} and Benjamin Toirambe and Mario Tomazello-Filho and Torbenson, {Max C.A.} and Ramzi Touchan and Alejandro Venegas-Gonz{\'a}lez and Ricardo Villalba and Jose Villanueva-Diaz and Royd Vinya and Mart Vlam and Tommy Wils and Zhou, {Zhe Kun}",

note = "Funding Information: We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoci?n Cient?fica y Tecnol?gica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confedera??o da Agricultura e Pecu?ria do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Direcci?n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad?mico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Direcci?n de Investigaci?n UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; S?o Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847?0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA?s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru ?s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru?s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cient?fico, Tecnol?gico y de Innovaci?n Tecnol?gica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Cr?dito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-S?nchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigaci?n Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educa??o; Ci?ncia e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania ?L. Vanvitelli?; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau. Funding Information: We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoci{\'o}n Cient{\'i}fica y Tecnol{\'o}gica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confedera{\c c}{\~a}o da Agricultura e Pecu{\'a}ria do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordena{\c c}{\~a}o de Aperfei{\c c}oamento de Pessoal de N{\'i}vel Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient{\'i}fico e Tecnol{\'o}gico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Direcci{\'o}n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad{\'e}mico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Direcci{\'o}n de Investigaci{\'o}n UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; S{\~a}o Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847‐0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA{\textquoteright}s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru {\textquoteleft}s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru{\textquoteright}s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cient{\'i}fico, Tecnol{\'o}gico y de Innovaci{\'o}n Tecnol{\'o}gica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Cr{\'e}dito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-S{\'a}nchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigaci{\'o}n Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educa{\c c}{\~a}o; Ci{\^e}ncia e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.",

year = "2022",

month = apr,

doi = "10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8",

language = "English",

volume = "15",

pages = "269--276",

journal = "Nature Geoscience",

issn = "1752-0894",

publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",

number = "4",

}

Zuidema, PA, Babst, F, Groenendijk, P, Trouet, V, Abiyu, A, Acuña-Soto, R, Adenesky-Filho, E, Alfaro-Sánchez, R, Aragão, JRV, Assis-Pereira, G, Bai, X, Barbosa, AC, Battipaglia, G, Beeckman, H, Botosso, PC, Bradley, T, Bräuning, A, Brienen, R, Buckley, BM, Camarero, JJ, Carvalho, A, Ceccantini, G, Centeno-Erguera, LR, Cerano-Paredes, J, Chávez-Durán, ÁA, Cintra, BBL, Cleaveland, MK, Couralet, C, D’Arrigo, R, del Valle, JI, Dünisch, O, Enquist, BJ, Esemann-Quadros, K, Eshetu, Z, Fan, ZX, Ferrero, ME, Fichtler, E, Fontana, C, Francisco, KS, Gebrekirstos, A, Gloor, E, Granato-Souza, D, Haneca, K, Harley, GL, Heinrich, I, Helle, G, Inga, JG, Islam, M, Jiang, YM, Kaib, M, Khamisi, ZH, Koprowski, M, Kruijt, B, Layme, E, Leemans, R, Leffler, AJ, Lisi, CS, Loader, NJ, Locosselli, GM, Lopez, L, López-Hernández, MI, Lousada, JLPC, Mendivelso, HA, Mokria, M, Montóia, VR, Moors, E, Nabais, C, Ngoma, J, Nogueira Júnior, FDC, Oliveira, JM, Olmedo, GM, Pagotto, MA, Panthi, S, Pérez-De-Lis, G, Pucha-Cofrep, D, Pumijumnong, N, Rahman, M, Ramirez, JA, Requena-Rojas, EJ, Ribeiro, ADS, Robertson, I, Roig, FA, Rubio-Camacho, EA, Sass-Klaassen, U, Schöngart, J, Sheppard, PR, Slotta, F, Speer, JH, Therrell, MD, Toirambe, B, Tomazello-Filho, M, Torbenson, MCA, Touchan, R, Venegas-González, A, Villalba, R, Villanueva-Diaz, J, Vinya, R, Vlam, M, Wils, T & Zhou, ZK 2022, 'Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability', Nature Geoscience, vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 269-276. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8

TY - JOUR

T1 - Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability

AU - Zuidema, Pieter A.

AU - Babst, Flurin

AU - Groenendijk, Peter

AU - Trouet, Valerie

AU - Abiyu, Abrham

AU - Acuña-Soto, Rodolfo

AU - Adenesky-Filho, Eduardo

AU - Alfaro-Sánchez, Raquel

AU - Aragão, José Roberto Vieira

AU - Assis-Pereira, Gabriel

AU - Bai, Xue

AU - Barbosa, Ana Carolina

AU - Battipaglia, Giovanna

AU - Beeckman, Hans

AU - Botosso, Paulo Cesar

AU - Bradley, Tim

AU - Bräuning, Achim

AU - Brienen, Roel

AU - Buckley, Brendan M.

AU - Camarero, J. Julio

AU - Carvalho, Ana

AU - Ceccantini, Gregório

AU - Centeno-Erguera, Librado R.

AU - Cerano-Paredes, Julián

AU - Chávez-Durán, Álvaro Agustín

AU - Cintra, Bruno Barçante Ladvocat

AU - Cleaveland, Malcolm K.

AU - Couralet, Camille

AU - D’Arrigo, Rosanne

AU - del Valle, Jorge Ignacio

AU - Dünisch, Oliver

AU - Enquist, Brian J.

AU - Esemann-Quadros, Karin

AU - Eshetu, Zewdu

AU - Fan, Ze Xin

AU - Ferrero, M. Eugenia

AU - Fichtler, Esther

AU - Fontana, Claudia

AU - Francisco, Kainana S.

AU - Gebrekirstos, Aster

AU - Gloor, Emanuel

AU - Granato-Souza, Daniela

AU - Haneca, Kristof

AU - Harley, Grant Logan

AU - Heinrich, Ingo

AU - Helle, Gerd

AU - Inga, Janet G.

AU - Islam, Mahmuda

AU - Jiang, Yu mei

AU - Kaib, Mark

AU - Khamisi, Zakia Hassan

AU - Koprowski, Marcin

AU - Kruijt, Bart

AU - Layme, Eva

AU - Leemans, Rik

AU - Leffler, A. Joshua

AU - Lisi, Claudio Sergio

AU - Loader, Neil J.

AU - Locosselli, Giuliano Maselli

AU - Lopez, Lidio

AU - López-Hernández, María I.

AU - Lousada, José Luís Penetra Cerveira

AU - Mendivelso, Hooz A.

AU - Mokria, Mulugeta

AU - Montóia, Valdinez Ribeiro

AU - Moors, Eddy

AU - Nabais, Cristina

AU - Ngoma, Justine

AU - Nogueira Júnior, Francisco de Carvalho

AU - Oliveira, Juliano Morales

AU - Olmedo, Gabriela Morais

AU - Pagotto, Mariana Alves

AU - Panthi, Shankar

AU - Pérez-De-Lis, Gonzalo

AU - Pucha-Cofrep, Darwin

AU - Pumijumnong, Nathsuda

AU - Rahman, Mizanur

AU - Ramirez, Jorge Andres

AU - Requena-Rojas, Edilson Jimmy

AU - Ribeiro, Adauto de Souza

AU - Robertson, Iain

AU - Roig, Fidel Alejandro

AU - Rubio-Camacho, Ernesto Alonso

AU - Sass-Klaassen, Ute

AU - Schöngart, Jochen

AU - Sheppard, Paul R.

AU - Slotta, Franziska

AU - Speer, James H.

AU - Therrell, Matthew D.

AU - Toirambe, Benjamin

AU - Tomazello-Filho, Mario

AU - Torbenson, Max C.A.

AU - Touchan, Ramzi

AU - Venegas-González, Alejandro

AU - Villalba, Ricardo

AU - Villanueva-Diaz, Jose

AU - Vinya, Royd

AU - Vlam, Mart

AU - Wils, Tommy

AU - Zhou, Zhe Kun

N1 - Funding Information: We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoci?n Cient?fica y Tecnol?gica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confedera??o da Agricultura e Pecu?ria do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient?fico e Tecnol?gico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Direcci?n General de Asuntos del Personal Acad?mico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Direcci?n de Investigaci?n UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; S?o Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847?0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA?s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru ?s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru?s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Cient?fico, Tecnol?gico y de Innovaci?n Tecnol?gica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Cr?dito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-S?nchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigaci?n Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educa??o; Ci?ncia e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania ?L. Vanvitelli?; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau. Funding Information: We acknowledge financial support to the co-authors provided by Agencia Nacional de Promoción Científica y Tecnológica, Argentina (PICT 2014-2797) to M.E.F.; Alberta Mennega Stichting to P.G.; BBVA Foundation to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; Belspo BRAIN project: BR/143/A3/HERBAXYLAREDD to H.B.; Confederação da Agricultura e Pecuária do Brasil - CNA to C.F.; Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES, Brazil (PDSE 15011/13-5 to M.A.P.; 88881.135931/2016-01 to C.F.; 88887.199858/2018-00 to G.A.-P.; Finance Code 001 for all Brazilian collaborators); Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico - CNPq, Brazil (ENV 42 to O.D.; 1009/4785031-2 to G.C.; 311874/2017-7 to J.S.); CONACYT-CB-2016-283134 to J.V.-D.; CONICET to F.A.R.; CUOMO FOUNDATION (IPCC scholarship) to M.M.; Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft - DFG (BR 1895/15-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/23-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/29-1 to A.B.; BR 1895/24-1 to M.M.); DGD-RMCA PilotMAB to B.T.; Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico of the UNAM (Mexico) to R.B.; Elsa-Neumann-Scholarship of the Federal State of Berlin to F.S.; EMBRAPA Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation to C.F.; Equatorian Dirección de Investigación UNL (21-DI-FARNR-2019) to D.P.-C.; São Paulo Research Foundation FAPESP (2009/53951-7 to M.T.-F.; 2012/50457-4 to G.C.; 2018/01847‐0 to P.G.; 2018/24514-7 to J.R.V.A.; 2019/08783-0 to G.M.L.; 2019/27110-7 to C.F.); FAPESP-NERC 18/50080-4 to G.C.; FAPITEC/SE/FUNTEC no. 01/2011 to M.A.P.; Fulbright Fellowship to B.J.E.; German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) to M.I. and M.R.; German Ministry of Education, Science, Research, and Technology (FRG 0339638) to O.D.; ICRAF through the Forests, Trees, and Agroforestry research programme of the CGIAR to M.M.; Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI-SGP-CRA 2047) to J.V.-D.; International Foundation for Science (D/5466-1) to M.I.; Lamont Climate Center to B.M.B.; Miquelfonds to P.G.; National Geographic Global Exploration Fund (GEFNE80-13) to I.R.; USA’s National Science Foundation NSF (IBN-9801287 to A.J.L.; GER 9553623 and a postdoctoral fellowship to B.J.E.); NSF P2C2 (AGS-1501321) to A.C.B., D.G.-S. and G.A.-P.; NSF-FAPESP PIRE 2017/50085-3 to M.T.-F., G.C. and G.M.L.; NUFFIC-NICHE programme (HEART project) to B.K., E.M., J.H.S., J.N. and R. Vinya; Peru ‘s CONCYTEC and World Bank (043-2019-FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV.) to J.G.I.; Peru’s Fondo Nacional de Desarrollo Científico, Tecnológico y de Innovación Tecnológica (FONDECYT-BM-INC.INV 039-2019) to E.J.R.-R. and M.E.F.; Programa Bosques Andinos - HELVETAS Swiss Intercooperation to M.E.F.; Programa Nacional de Becas y Crédito Educativo - PRONABEC to J.G.I.; Schlumberger Foundation Faculty for the Future to J.N.; Sigma Xi to A.J.L.; Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute to R. Alfaro-Sánchez.; Spanish Ministry of Foreign Affairs AECID (11-CAP2-1730) to H.A.M. and J.J.C.; UK NERC grant NE/K01353X/1 to E.G. For logistical and (field) assistance, we thank Bangladesh Forest Department; Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahido Church and Congregants; Evandro Dalmaso (CEMAL logging firm); Instituto Boliviano de Investigación Forestal (IBIF; Bolivia); INPA parket Co.; Instituto Federal de Educação; Ciência e Tecnologia de Sergipe (IFS); Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources of Botswana; Reserva Natural da Vale (RNV); Sebastian Bernal; the Valere project of University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”; the villagers of Nizanda in Oaxaca, Mexico. We are grateful for the help and supervision by D. Stahle, D. Eckstein and H. Muller-Landau. Publisher Copyright: © 2022, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.

PY - 2022/4

Y1 - 2022/4

N2 - Interannual variability in the global land carbon sink is strongly related to variations in tropical temperature and rainfall. This association suggests an important role for moisture-driven fluctuations in tropical vegetation productivity, but empirical evidence to quantify the responsible ecological processes is missing. Such evidence can be obtained from tree-ring data that quantify variability in a major vegetation productivity component: woody biomass growth. Here we compile a pantropical tree-ring network to show that annual woody biomass growth increases primarily with dry-season precipitation and decreases with dry-season maximum temperature. The strength of these dry-season climate responses varies among sites, as reflected in four robust and distinct climate response groups of tropical tree growth derived from clustering. Using cluster and regression analyses, we find that dry-season climate responses are amplified in regions that are drier, hotter and more climatically variable. These amplification patterns suggest that projected global warming will probably aggravate drought-induced declines in annual tropical vegetation productivity. Our study reveals a previously underappreciated role of dry-season climate variability in driving the dynamics of tropical vegetation productivity and consequently in influencing the land carbon sink.

AB - Interannual variability in the global land carbon sink is strongly related to variations in tropical temperature and rainfall. This association suggests an important role for moisture-driven fluctuations in tropical vegetation productivity, but empirical evidence to quantify the responsible ecological processes is missing. Such evidence can be obtained from tree-ring data that quantify variability in a major vegetation productivity component: woody biomass growth. Here we compile a pantropical tree-ring network to show that annual woody biomass growth increases primarily with dry-season precipitation and decreases with dry-season maximum temperature. The strength of these dry-season climate responses varies among sites, as reflected in four robust and distinct climate response groups of tropical tree growth derived from clustering. Using cluster and regression analyses, we find that dry-season climate responses are amplified in regions that are drier, hotter and more climatically variable. These amplification patterns suggest that projected global warming will probably aggravate drought-induced declines in annual tropical vegetation productivity. Our study reveals a previously underappreciated role of dry-season climate variability in driving the dynamics of tropical vegetation productivity and consequently in influencing the land carbon sink.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85127442687&partnerID=8YFLogxK

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85127442687&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8

DO - 10.1038/s41561-022-00911-8

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85127442687

SN - 1752-0894

VL - 15

SP - 269

EP - 276

JO - Nature Geoscience

JF - Nature Geoscience

IS - 4

ER -

Tropical tree growth driven by dry-season climate variability

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