Turn down the heat: climate extremes, regional impacts, and the case for resilience

Sophie Adams, Florent Baarsch, Alberte Bondeau, D. Coumou, Reik Donner, Katja Frieler, Bill Hare, Arathy Menon, Mahe Perette, Franziska Plontek, Kira Rehfeld, Alexander Robinson, Marcia Rocha, Joeri Rogelj, Jakob Runge, Michiel Schaeffer, Jacob Schewe, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Susanne Schwan, Olivia SerdecznyAnastasia Svirejeva-Hopkins, Marion Vieweg, Lila Warszawski

Research output: Book / ReportReportAcademic


This report focuses on the risks of climate change to development in Sub-Saharan Africa, South East Asia and South Asia. Building on the 2012 report, Turn Down the Heat: Why a 4°C Warmer World Must be Avoided, this new scientific analysis examines the likely impacts of present day, 2°C and 4°C warming on agricultural production, water resources, and coastal vulnerability for affected populations. It finds many significant climate and development impacts are already being felt in some regions, and in some cases multiple threats of increasing extreme heat waves, sea level rise, more severe storms, droughts and floods are expected to have further severe negative implications for the poorest. Climate related extreme events could push households below the poverty trap threshold. High temperature extremes appear likely to affect yields of rice, wheat, maize and other important crops, adversely affecting food security. Promoting economic growth and the eradication of poverty and inequality will thus be an increasingly challenging task under future climate change. Immediate steps are needed to help countries adapt to the risks already locked in at current levels of 0.8°C warming, but with ambitious global action to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions, many of the worst projected climate impacts could still be avoided by holding warming below 2°C.
Original languageEnglish
Place of PublicationWashington D.C.
Number of pages254
ISBN (Electronic)978-1-4648-0056-6
Publication statusPublished - 2013

Publication series

NameTurn down the heat
PublisherWorld Bank


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