Abstract
We study the dynamic price competition of hotels in Venice using publicly available data scraped from an online travel agency. This study poses two main challenges. First, the time series of prices recorded for each hotel encompasses a twofold time frame. For every single asking price for an overnight stay on a specific day, there is a corresponding time series of asking prices along the booking window on the online platforms. Second, the competition relations between different hoteliers is clearly unknown and needs to be discovered using a suitable methodology. We address these problems by proposing a novel Network Autoregressive model which is able to handle the peculiar threefold data structure of the data set with time-varying coefficients over the booking window. This approach allows us to uncover the competition network of the market players by employing a quick data-driven algorithm. Independent, mixed, and leader–follower relationships are detected, revealing the competitive dynamics of the destination, useful to managers and stakeholders.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 130-157 |
| Number of pages | 28 |
| Journal | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society |
| Volume | 187 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| Early online date | 28 Jul 2023 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Jan 2024 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:M.A. acknowledges financial support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101108797.
Publisher Copyright:
© The Royal Statistical Society 2023.
Funding
The authors cordially thank the Editor, the AE, and two reviewers for constructive comments which improved as earlier version of the manuscript. This work was done while M.A. was with the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of Cyprus. M.A. acknowledges financial support from the European Union' s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowsk-Curie grant agreement No. 101108797.
| Funders | Funder number |
|---|---|
| Horizon 2020 Framework Programme | |
| European Commission | |
| H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions | 101108797 |
| Not added | 103495 |
Keywords
- correlation
- data-driven approach
- dynamic pricing
- leader–follower relationships
- multivariate time series
- network autoregression