Unveiling Venice’s hotels competition networks from dynamic pricing digital market

Mirko Armillotta, Konstantinos Fokianos*, Andrea Guizzardi

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to JournalArticleAcademicpeer-review

Abstract

We study the dynamic price competition of hotels in Venice using publicly available data scraped from an online travel agency. This study poses two main challenges. First, the time series of prices recorded for each hotel encompasses a twofold time frame. For every single asking price for an overnight stay on a specific day, there is a corresponding time series of asking prices along the booking window on the online platforms. Second, the competition relations between different hoteliers is clearly unknown and needs to be discovered using a suitable methodology. We address these problems by proposing a novel Network Autoregressive model which is able to handle the peculiar threefold data structure of the data set with time-varying coefficients over the booking window. This approach allows us to uncover the competition network of the market players by employing a quick data-driven algorithm. Independent, mixed, and leader–follower relationships are detected, revealing the competitive dynamics of the destination, useful to managers and stakeholders.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)130-157
Number of pages28
JournalJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society
Volume187
Issue number1
Early online date28 Jul 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2024

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
M.A. acknowledges financial support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No. 101108797.

Publisher Copyright:
© The Royal Statistical Society 2023.

Funding

The authors cordially thank the Editor, the AE, and two reviewers for constructive comments which improved as earlier version of the manuscript. This work was done while M.A. was with the Department of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of Cyprus. M.A. acknowledges financial support from the European Union' s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowsk-Curie grant agreement No. 101108797.

FundersFunder number
Horizon 2020 Framework Programme
European Commission
H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions101108797
Not added103495

    Keywords

    • correlation
    • data-driven approach
    • dynamic pricing
    • leader–follower relationships
    • multivariate time series
    • network autoregression

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